FOMC
February CPI Shows Disinflation Losing Momentum as Energy Costs Surge
Wells Fargo economists warn that a developing Middle East conflict could push energy goods prices sharply higher in March, complicating the Federal Reserve’s...
U.S. Payrolls Contract by 92,000 in February as Labor Market Stumbles, Fed Outlook Dims
Wells Fargo Economics says one-off factors only partially explain the unexpected decline, with the Iran conflict adding new complexity to an already uncertain...
U.S. Payrolls Rise 130,000 in January as Unemployment Falls to 4.3%
Wells Fargo Economics says stronger hiring and steady 3.7 percent wage growth bolster case for Federal Reserve to hold rates steady A year...
Tax Refunds Set to Surge 18% in 2026 Filing Season as Retroactive Cuts Take Effect
American taxpayers can expect substantially larger refunds this filing season as retroactive tax provisions from last year’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act finally...
Labor Market Treads Water as Job Growth Stalls in Final Month of 2025
December payrolls rose just 50,000 while unemployment edged down to 4.4 percent, leaving Fed likely on hold for January meeting The U.S. labor...
November Inflation Data Raises Questions Amid Government Shutdown Disruptions: CPI Falls to 2.7%
Data collection issues follow longest government shutdown, casting doubt on sharp slowdown to multi-year lows The latest consumer price data presents an unusual...
Commercial Real Estate Market Gains Momentum as Property Prices Rise 4.2% Year Over Year
Federal Reserve rate cuts drive $1.9 billion reduction in distressed properties, transaction volumes jump 13.2 percent year-to-date The commercial real estate market is...
Federal Reserve Cuts Rates to 3.5%–3.75% as Committee Signals Slower Pace of Easing Ahead
Central bank’s December quarter-point reduction draws three dissents as officials project the policy rate holding at 3.375 percent through 2026 The Federal Reserve...
September Jobs Report Shows 119,000 Nonfarm Payroll Gain as Unemployment Climbs to 4.4%
Delayed data reveals continued labor market softening, leaving Fed’s December rate decision uncertain The long-delayed September payroll numbers arrived with an unusual sense...
U.S. Economy Positioned for Steadier Growth as Policy Uncertainty Recedes
Wells Fargo forecasts 2.3 percent GDP expansion in 2026 as fiscal stimulus, monetary easing and stabilized trade framework replace year of escalating tariffs...
The Great Hiring Freeze: U.S. Labor Market Hits the Brakes as Fed Faces Policy Dilemma
The American job machine that powered the economy through four years of defying recession predictions has suddenly downshifted into first gear. August employment...
Fed Holds Rates Steady in July, But Dissent Signals Growing Division Over Policy Path
The Federal Reserve opted to maintain interest rates in July, marking the fifth consecutive meeting with no change to the federal funds rate,...
